Who Targeted Ukraine
Airlines Flight 752? Iran Shot It Down but There May be More to the
Story
The claim that Major General Qassem Soleimani was a “terrorist” on a
mission to carry out an “imminent” attack that would kill hundreds of
Americans turned out to be a lie, so why should one believe anything
else relating to recent developments in Iran and Iraq? To be sure,
Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 departing from Tehran’s
Imam Khomeini International Airport on the morning of January
8th with 176 passengers and crew on board was shot down by
Iranian air defenses, something which the government of the Islamic
Republic has admitted, but there just might be
considerably more to the story involving cyberwarfare carried out by
the U.S. and possibly Israeli governments.
To be sure, the Iranian air defenses were on high
alert fearing an American attack in the wake of the U.S. government’s assassination of Soleimani on January
3rd followed by a missile strike from Iran directed against two
U.S. bases in Iraq. In spite of the tension and the escalation, the
Iranian government did not shut down the country’s airspace. Civilian
passenger flights were still departing and arriving in Tehran, almost
certainly an error in judgment on the part of the airport authorities.
Inexplicably, civilian aircraft continued to take off and land even
after Flight 752 was shot down.
Fifty-seven of the passengers on the flight were
Canadians of Iranian descent, leading Prime
Minister Justin Trudeau to point the finger both
at the Iranian government for its carelessness and also at
Washington, observing angrily that the Trump Administration had deliberately and recklessly sought to
“escalate tensions” with Iran through an attack near Baghdad Airport,
heedless of the impact on travelers and other civilians in the
region.
What seems to have been a case of bad judgements and
human error does, however, include some elements that have yet to be
explained. The Iranian missile operator reportedly experienced
considerable “jamming” and the planes transponder switched off and stopped
transmitting several minutes before the missiles were launched. There were also problems
with the communication network of the air defense
command, which may have been related.
The electronic jamming coming from an unknown source meant
that the air defense system was placed on manual operation, relying
on human intervention to launch. The human role meant that an
operator had to make a quick judgment in a pressure situation in
which he had only moments to react. The shutdown of the
transponder, which would have automatically signaled to the operator
and Tor electronics that the plane was civilian, instead
automatically indicated that it was hostile.The operator, having been
particularly briefed on the possibility of incoming American cruise
missiles, then fired.
The two missiles that brought the plane down came from
a Russian-made system designated SA-15 by NATO and called Tor by
the Russians. Its eight missiles are normally mounted on a tracked
vehicle. The system includes both radar to detect and track targets
as well as an independent launch system, which includes
an Identification Friend or Foe (IFF) system functionality
capable of reading call signs and transponder signals to prevent
accidents. Given what happened on that morning in Tehran, it is
plausible to assume that something or someone deliberately interfered
with both the Iranian air defenses and with the transponder on the
airplane, possibly as part of an attempt to create an aviation
accident that would be attributed to the Iranian government.
The SA-15 Tor defense system used by Iran has one
major vulnerability. It can be hacked or “spoofed,” permitting an intruder to
impersonate a legitimate user and take control. The United
States Navy and Air Force reportedly have developed technologies
“that can fool enemy radar systems with false and deceptively moving
targets.” Fooling the system also means fooling the operator.
The Guardian has also reported independently how the
United States military has long been developing systems that can from
a distance alter the electronics and targeting of Iran’s available
missiles.
The same technology can, of course, be used
to alter or even mask the transponder on a civilian airliner in
such a fashion as to send false information about identity and
location. The United States has the cyber and electronic warfare
capability to both jam and alter signals relating to both airliner
transponders and to the Iranian air defenses. Israel presumably has
the same ability. Joe Quinn at Sott.net also notes an interested back story
to those photos and video footage that have appeared
in the New York Times and elsewhere showing the Iranian
missile launch, the impact with the plane and the remains after the
crash, to include the missile remains. They appeared on January 9th,
in an Instagram account called ‘Rich Kids of Tehran‘. Quinn asks how the
Rich Kids happened to be in “a low-income housing estate on the
city’s outskirts [near the airport] at 6 a.m. on the morning of
January 8th with cameras pointed at the right part of the sky in
time to capture a missile hitting a Ukrainian passenger plane…?”
Put together the Rich Kids and the possibility of
electronic warfare and it all suggests a premeditated and carefully
planned event of which the Soleimani assassination was only a
part. There have been riots in Iran subsequent to the shooting
down of the plane, blaming the government for its ineptitude.
Some of the people in the street are clearly calling
for the goal long sought by the United States and Israel, i.e.
“regime change.” If nothing else, Iran, which was widely seen as the
victim in the killing of Soleimani, is being depicted in much of the
international media as little more than another unprincipled actor
with blood on its hands. There is much still to explain about the
downing of Ukrainian International Airlines Flight 752.
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Philip M. Giraldi is a former CIA
counter-terrorism specialist and military intelligence officer who
served nineteen years overseas in Turkey, Italy, Germany, and Spain.
He was the CIA Chief of Base for the Barcelona Olympics in 1992 and
was one of the first Americans to enter Afghanistan in December 2001.
Phil is Executive Director of the Council for the National Interest,
a Washington-based advocacy group that seeks to encourage and promote
a U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East that is consistent with
American values and interests. He is a frequent contributor to Global
Research.
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